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How to produce usable data from observational studies: incidence and prevalence of illness.
Population health research aims to establish links between disease aetiology and illness. In the past, such studies relied largely on self-reported data, which gave rise to concerns over validity. Nonetheless, self-reported data continue to be widely used. We consider the issues relating to biases caused by self-reported data, and we show how useful data can be obtained using simple observational studies. Our approach is demonstrated using a study of the relationship between mental illness and alcohol use in a defined population. Such studies can identify very precisely what proportion of the population is at risk of illness, and the risks of illness for those at risk can be quantified with confidence.Polling in the battleground state of Ohio began at 7 a.m. ET, and the race to succeed President Barack Obama is on. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney leads the incumbent, who has promised to make federal programs benefit the middle class, and not the wealthiest Americans.
According to a new Quinnipiac University Poll out on Tuesday, Mr. Romney leads President Obama by 5 percentage points in Ohio. Mr. Obama remains at a disadvantage in the state, where he lost to Mr. Romney in the 2012 presidential election by six points. That gap is between Mr. Romney and Mr. Obama in Ohio as well as in the key swing states of Virginia, Florida and Iowa.
Among independent voters, Mr. Romney leads President Obama by 12 points. Among the electorate as a whole, Mr. Obama leads by eight points. But according to Quinnipiac, among white women, Mr. Romney leads by 22 points. In Ohio, President Obama won the minority voters, and Mr. Romney won them on Monday night.
Ohio’s 18 electoral votes aren’t expected to count in this race. In fact, the main thing separating Mr. Romney from Mr. Obama is campaign strategy. The Obama campaign is trying to make the economy the focal point of its message; Republicans, such as Mr. Romney, are trying to make income and tax reform the main talking points.
Another reason for the difference in campaigns is much greater than strategy. With nearly the day to campaign ahead of the election, Mr. Obama